Posts Tagged ‘Economics’

Ice Cream for Everyone – Well Maybe Not Everyone

Monday, November 30th, 2009

So unemployment has taken the center stage in politics. It was not really important when unemployment was 9.8%, but now it is 10.2%, double digits changes everything. The answer according to the US political powers is stimulus, more and more stimulus. Even know stimulus has really never worked as designed, maybe this time they will get it right, right?

My belief is that economics needs to be broken down into the smallest piece to the individual US citizen. What works for an individual should work for the economy as a whole.

To date the US government has taken the position that the government needs to fill in the demand holes with stimulus by borrowing money. If the US government borrows 1.5 trillion dollars and then spends it into the economy through stimulus, this “growth” in the economy (gdp) should bridge the gap according to the current powers.

What if an individual did the same thing as the US government? Okay so Suzy gets a pay cut and the she decides to adopt the same philosophy as her government. Suzy takes her credit cards and decides to go on a spending spree matching her lost income. Suzy does not just use her credit cards to pay current bills, but she also uses it to redo her kitchen. Suzy lost $30,000 in pay, but she spent $30,000 on her kitchen and other none essential items to make up for the lost income. Did Suzy make up her lost $30,000 in income? Is her situation better after spending the $30,000? Did she reduce or increase her risk?

The answer to the above questions seems relatively obvious to me. If you lose income a budget is the solution not a spending spree. If 70% of the US economy comes down to the US consumer, shouldn’t our rules be their rules?

Stop Fighting the Dollar

Tuesday, April 7th, 2009

The US Government in one breathe attempts to sink the Dollar in the next speaks of a commitment to a strong Dollar. Even with all of their “innovative” methods of sinking the Dollar, it just keeps getting back up. The Dollar of recent has the resilience of a “Rocky” opponent.

So what keeps the Dollar moving up even in the face of such dramatic attempts to keep it down? Probably the most obvious is that the rest of the world is in worse shape than the USA. The old saying goes “if the USA gets a cold, typically the rest of the world gets pneumonia”.


With the US Government printing money at a feverish pace, other countries that are dependent on exports to the USA must do the same to keep their currency in pace. This process seems to extend the financial pain and fuel social unrest.

The Dollar is the Ocean eroding the cost of goods and services in the US, the solutions so far are looking like poor conceived Jetties, which typically cause more harm than good.

What is Deflation?

Tuesday, March 24th, 2009

The simple answer is, prices coming down on goods and services. There are two types of deflation, good and bad.

Good Deflation:

Prices of goods and services are improved due to innovation either in manufacturing or in product delivery (i.e. inventory management).


Bad Deflation:

Prices of products and services are pressured by a lack of demand at current price level and demand can only be spurred by a price reduction. Some people actually feel as though bad deflation is a way of deflating an over inflated economy. When prices are forcefully reduced due to economic pressures, this causes increased unemployment, which perpetuates the situation. Companies must let people go to be able sell their products cheaper. This in return pressures the remaining workforce to pick up the slack without increased wages.

Many people may say that my definition of deflation is not descriptive enough to all the moving pieces (i.e. monetary value), but to me it is a simple way to identify and understand this potently destructive force.