Posts Tagged ‘bailout’

Wall Street Bonuses – Blind leading the Blind

Monday, January 11th, 2010

Main street America is bracing for the all expected news of coming bonuses for Wall Street executives. When main street is suffering with shrinking credit and high unemployment, why should the source of the problem get a bonuses. Well they made a lot of money over the past year, right? Most of these institutions paid off the TARP funds, so why should they not get bonuses?

First let’s look at how those institutions paid off their tarp funds. Goldman Sachs is believed to be at the apex of Wall Street with their proven track record. How did Goldman Sachs pay off their TARP debt so fast? Last year the US government bailed out AIG by giving them a large chunk of tax payer money. Most of those funds given to AIG passed directly through to institutions that they owed due to bad bets with credit default swaps. Goldman Sachs was the top recipient of $12.9 billion of those tax payer dollars. Goldman Sachs owed TARP $10 billion. Shouldn’t the house be responsible for the bets they take?

They made a lot of money, right? The question is at whose expense. These institutions make a good share of their profits off the consumer. Since credit card rates have gone up and the banks cost of money gone down (fed funds rate), it would seem some of the TARP funds where paid back by the same tax payer who bailed them out.

Who should decide whether these institutions give their executives bonuses? I personally believe that the shareholders should be making the decision, since they are the ones who own the company. Let’s take a look at Goldman Sachs’s top 10 institutional shareholders as of September 30th, 2009 considering 76% of Goldman Sachs is owned by Institutional & Mutual Fund Owners.

4.62% AXA – They provide insurance and asset management services through their subsidiaries around the world.
4.41% Barclay Group – They provide financial services to United States and Europe.
3.72% State Street Corporation – Provides financial services around the world.
3.40% Wellington Management Company – Institutional investment managers.
3.29% Vanguard Group – Provides mutual funds and other financial services.
3.20% FMR LLC – Otherwise known as Fidelity Investments is one of the largest mutual fund providers in the world.
2.14% Price (T. Rowe) Associates – Large mutual fund provider.
2.07% Marsico Capital Management – Financial services and mutual fund provider.
1.76% Janus Capital Management –Asset management and mutual fund provider.
1.70% J.P. Morgan and Company – Large financial services provider.

All of the above institutions have one thing in common and that is they are all investment managers. If you hold a mutual fund or ETF (exchange traded fund) that owns Goldman Sachs, do you vote as a shareholder? The answer is no, the fund manager makes the decision. Do you think the fund manager is going to say no to bonuses?

Whether Wall Street deserves the bonuses or not, one thing is for sure they will do what they want since there is no one to stop them.

Tags: , , , , , ,
Posted in Banking, Federal Reserve Actions, Politics, Stock Market Actions | No Comments »

Innovation in Banking

Friday, April 24th, 2009

While the real estate market was roaring, banks where feverishly competing to provide mortgages to the anxious American homebuyer. During the peak of bubble new “innovative” products were released regularly requiring less information from buyers and or more payment flexibility. Institutions that did not offer these “innovative” products fell quickly behind their competitors who did.

In every industry leaders are chased by lagers. In a top 10 list of an industry, 2 through 10 are always trying to take number ones spot. This competitiveness is what typically spurs “innovation” in an industry.

Banking is one business where “innovation” is more difficult to develop. Banks can and do develop”innovative” ways to service their customers more conveniently and efficiently without increasing risk. When banks develop “innovative” lending or insurance products, it is typically at the expense of increased risk.

Risk in banking during good times typically leads to increased profits. So during the good times typically banks look to increased product risk makes you more competitive. When times are tough, risk typically leads to losses. Then during bad times you could say reduced product risk typically makes you more competitive.

Innovation in banking is now more focused on reducing risk, since this improves their competitiveness during tough times. They are doing this by increasing lending requirements and raising fees. The US government has also attempted to reduce banks risk by artificially suppressing rates to keep the cost of lending down, therefore improving profit margins for banks.

Banks “innovation” on increased risk nearly put them out of business. Will their “innovation” on reducing risk finish them off?

Tags: , , , , ,
Posted in Real Estate, Stock Market Actions | No Comments »

Banks Profitable – That was Easy

Thursday, April 16th, 2009

Okay so here we are again, it is earning season and to the market’s surprise banks are showing some profits. When I make the above statement I can’t help to picture a older man in a suit riding a bike with training wheels saying “Mom look, I can ride a bike”.


All it took was nearly a trillion dollars to suppress mortgage rates; billions of dollars of direct aid, small change to Market to Market accounting and a commitment from the US government indicating they will not them fail.

Meanwhile earnings of companies who do not have the favor of the government are falling rapidly. Housing starts again appear to be retrenching (remember this was a pillar which Wall Street put such angst on citing recovery). A large commercial real estate firm (holds over 200 malls across America) filed for bankruptcy protection today with a disclosed $29.6 billion in assets and $27 billion in liabilities. What banks are on the hook for that?

The US economy cycles through expansion and contraction of credit. This process has occurred for centuries. Since the Federal Reserve started to maintain control of the overnight bank rate the cycles have become somewhat more predictable. This predictability occurs because as the Federal Reserve identifies where the US economy is in a cycle it responds with a rather predictable action. This action has a somewhat predictable response.

When the economy approaches over expansion of credit the Federal Reserve raises the overnight bank rate to raise the cost of lending, which theoretically should slow growth. When the economy starts to contract credit, the Federal Reserve lowers the overnight bank rate to lower the cost of lending, which theoretically should spur growth.

The actions to save banks over the past year are meant to contribute to the above mentioned goal. The US Government and Federal Reserve are attempting to reduce the cost of lending to spur growth. The dilemma that is facing the United States is that currently its citizens are contracting out of fear. The average US citizens’ mindset has changed from over consumption to conservation. Since US consumers makes up about 70% of GDP, growth cannot occur without them.

To stabilize the US consumer you most likely need to improve unemployment to reduce this fear. This week showed an improvement in claims (attributed to the holiday week) but continued claims are still rising (over 6 million). This indicates that finding a job is still a challenge. For job growth to resume, someone needs to start hiring. The US government is attempting to take this role artificially with their behemoth stimulus they passed.

It appears the US government is attempting to put training wheels on its economy by trying to shoulder the weight on their own. These banks that have already had the training wheels attached are profitable off the actions of the US government, at the expense of the US taxpayer. I was under the impression that companies went out of business because not enough business to support them. What happens when (if?) the US government takes off the training wheels? Will the economy ride on its own or break a leg?

Tags: , , , , , ,
Posted in Economics, Stock Market Actions | No Comments »